In his blog today,
John Redwood appears to argue that there is very little point in voting UKIP as there is no possibility of them getting a majority in Parliament. He argues that they didn't even manage to come second in any of the Police & Crime Commissioner elections and this shows that they don't have the support that they claim.
I tend to agree with the facts that he puts forward, but not with the conclusions that he draws from them. I support UKIP because I want Britain to withdraw from the EU and to become an independent nation once again. I have reached the conclusion that the present Tory leadership is extremely unlikely even to attempt to withdraw and are talking of a "revised agreement". I suspect that the only referendum we are likely to be offered is whether we prefer the
status quo or would prefer the revised agreement.
But another reason that I will vote UKIP is because I have yet to discover
what are the policies of the present Conservative Party under David Cameron
& George Osborne. When Mrs Thatcher was leader it was very clear
what the party’s policies were but now, I haven’t a clue when it comes
to the issues that really matter.
We were promised lots of things but so
far zilch! On the other hand, things that weren’t mentioned such as
gay marriage are gaining prominence, and whilst they are perhaps worthy of
discussion, they are of little importance in the present crisis.
“Improvements” to the NHS seem to have resulted in the closure of the A&E department at our nearest hospital requiring a journey of at least twice the distance. My GP has just
retired early because, as he said to me, “I went into medicine to treat
patients, now I’m expected to spend much of my time doing paperwork and
the changes will make things worse. Enough is Enough”. The only Minister
who appears to be doing anything is Michael Gove, but I imagine he will
be ground down by the forces opposed to change and elitism.
The public finances show no signs of being brought under control, the
number of quangos abolished can be counted on the fingers of one hand,
others having been merged and are still effectively there. Money is
being wasted in foreign aid and ending up in dictators’ Swiss bank accounts
whilst the EU demands, and will no doubt get in some devious way, even
bigger sums.
Now I'm not stupid enough to think that UKIP will cure all these issues, nor do I believe that they will get a majority in Parliament in the foreseeable future. But what choice do I have?
I would like a true blue Tory government, and if I thought there was any
chance of getting one I would vote Tory. But in the present situation where all the old parties seem to be trying to claim the leftward-moving middle ground, there is very little difference between any of them. The LibDems appear to be opportunists and like blackmailers, the more that get, the more they want. In practice, I feel in many issues they are further left than Labour.
UKIP did well in the Corby by-election, getting well ahead of the LibDems and their vote was almost equal to the Labour majority. Clearly if the Tories and UKIP had been able to agree on a suitable Eurosceptic candidate and pulled together in the constituency, Labour could have been beaten. It illustrates what could happen to the Tories at the next election if they don't reach an accommodation with UKIP. The trouble is that Nigel Farrage has made it clear that he would not trust Cameron (after his "cast iron" guarantees) and that would present the Tories with a problem.
However, under the present
circumstances I think that if UKIP wasn’t there, I’d either not bother
to vote, or I would vote Labour. There is no way I can support the
present wishy-washy turquoise Tories.